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U.S. Strikes Three Iranian Tankers

They shoot two, we shoot three, and around and around we go.

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WaPo (“U.S. says it hit 3 Iranian oil tankers, including one near Kharg Island“):

The U.S. military said Saturday it hit three Iranian oil tankers, including one near Kharg Island, the country’s main oil terminal.

U.S. Central Command, which oversees operations in the region, said in a statement that its strikes disabled an oil carrier off the coast of Kharg Island and another off Jask, and it destroyed a third one in the Gulf of Oman.

Centcom said the strikes were in response to Iranian attacks on U.S. Navy warships.

“Let the message to the IRGC be clear: If you shoot at two of our ships, we will impose an even higher economic cost — taking out three of yours,” said Adm. Brad Cooper, Centcom commander, referring to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. “We will not hesitate to defend American forces, and if necessary, destroy Iran’s limited and exposed oil fleet.”

One might be inclined to wonder: What is the virtue of a proportional response? Unless we’re going to blow Kharg Island to smithereens again, it seems to be the only available option.

Alas, the move’s strategic value is unclear. How does this get us closer to resolving the conflict on our terms?

6 responses to “U.S. Strikes Three Iranian Tankers”

  1. We can’t resolve this on our terms.

    Do we even know what our terms are? I hope we’ll pretend we’re aggressively pursuing the war with sanctions while limiting military action to modest tit-for-tat actions. Trump could keep that up long enough to dump it on President Talarico, like he stuck Biden with his Afghanistan surrender. But even if that’s Trump’s plan he won’t stick to it.

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  2. James, James, James! Don’t you understand that this is all just small potatoes?

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  3. The world builds lots of oil tankers, and assuming some sort of settlement, any of them can be used to carry Iranian oil. The US builds its own warships (currently) and does so slowly. Serious repairs are also slow; there are queues for at least carriers and submarines that are waiting for space in the shipyards for maintenance. Three tankers for two warships may be a horrible exchange rate.

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  4. It takes a special kind of person to start a war on his own terms, at the time of his choosing, and immediately hand the initiative over to the enemy.

  5. Are oil tankers a legitimate military target, or did our navy just commit war crimes?

    Were they bringing resources to Iran for likely use in the military? I think we all know the answer is no, and that they were either empty or taking oil away.

    Do we consider the revenue brought into Iran by selling the oil elsewhere enough of a military use that it makes our navy’s actions legal? If so, what’s the threshold? Would each and every American citizen who pays more in taxes than the government spends on them be a legitimate military target?

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  6. Meanwhile, the Straits of Hormuz are still at 5% max of 2025 transit levels, the global oil markets continue at over $90/bbl and edging up, and the GCC economies are looking queasy.

    Trump continues to flounder in the pit he’s dropped himself and the US into.
    Hoping that cutting Iranian exports off will produce a quick capitulation by Tehran seems optimistic, to put it mildly.

    Though, incidentally, the damage to the Iranian economy is real, massive, and going to have longer-run effects on the capacity of Iran for regional power, but also to drive Iranian attempts to use force to offset that.
    And that in turn to other states countering Iran outside just relying on the US.
    See eg the recent Turkey/Pakistan/Saudi agreements.

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