Clinton and the African-American Vote

Outside the Beltway

Clinton and the African-American Vote

Steven L. Taylor

February 28, 2016

Comments

Like I was saying…

84% of black voters went for Clinton and 16% went for Sanders (CNN exit poll).

In other words, despite the Cable News Horserace Hoopla,^TM the Democratic side of the equation is going as expected, and will be, as I predicted before New Hampshire over this week: ”I remain convinced that by the morning of March 2nd, it will be pretty clear that Hillary is going to be the nominee.”

The GOP side, however, I clearly was wrong about and Trump is almost certainly going to be nominee (unless we get a really weird Super Tuesday). More on that later, no doubt (I am waiting until at least after Super Tuesday, if not mid-March, to write a long post on that topic).

One response to “Clinton and the African-American Vote”

MBungte

February 29, 2016 at 12:02 pm

South Carolina turnout for the Dems was down 30% from 2008 and African-Americans as a percentage of that vote, based on exit-polls, was only up from 55 to 61%, which means their turnout was down but not as much as whites.

People who dismiss Trump’s chance need to understand that no matter how much Latino turnout might surge, if black, youth and liberal white turnout dips and Trump cuts into the traditional big edge Democrats have with voters who make less than $50,000, his path to the White House is entirely within the realm of the possible.

Mike