Election Denialism did Poorly at the Polls
The "America First" slate of candidates lost all but one contest.
To me, one of the most concerning elements of the 2022 mid-terms was the prospect that candidates whose platforms were built on denying the 2020 election would be elected to Secretary of State and Governor’s offices. This possibility, especially in swing states, was far more concerning to me than the issue of which party controlled the Congress. Not to put too fine a point on it, but the real potential for a major political crisis was the pivot point of individual officials subverting popular vote outcomes in key states during the 2024 presidential elections. While there are any number of major concerns to be identified in our politics, the notion that we could realistically see a single official attempt to steer a state’s electoral votes in a particular direction was (and is) profoundly concerning.
The good news is that the NYT reports: Voters Reject Election Deniers Running to Take Over Elections
Every election denier who sought to become the top election official in a critical battleground state lost at the polls this year, as voters roundly rejected extreme partisans who promised to restrict voting and overhaul the electoral process.
The national repudiation of this coalition reached its apex on Saturday, when Cisco Aguilar, the Democratic candidate for secretary of state in Nevada, defeated Jim Marchant, according to The Associated Press. Mr. Marchant, the Republican nominee, had helped organize a national right-wing slate of candidates under the name “America First.”
With Mr. Marchant’s loss to Mr. Aguilar, all but one of those “America First” candidates were defeated. Only Diego Morales, a Republican in deep-red Indiana, was successful, while candidates in Michigan, Arizona and New Mexico were defeated.
The bullet dodged here is major, in my view. The potential for a major political crisis over the issue of electors should not be underestimated.
It is worth noting that gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake is also part of the America First SOS slate and while she currently trails in Arizona, it is not guaranteed that she will lose (although it does seem more likely than not).
Since losing is usually a signal to a political party that it needs to reform its behavior, I can only hope that the GOP gets the message. But, of course, as I frequently note, there isn’t a singular “GOP” to get said message, since control of the party label is decentralized and is a function of the primary system, from the highest offices in the land to the lowest.
I would note, too, that while these candidates were overt in their election denialism, they were hardly the only candidates/politicians adding fuel to the Big Lie fire. Just off the top of my head the Governor of Alabama, Kay Ivey, made a statement about the election being stolen in one of her campaign commercials. She is hardly the only one. The America First SOS types may be the obvious tumors on the GOP, but the cancer of election denialism has spread throughout the body. Maybe the 2022 results will lead to further excising of that cancer, but it is unlikely that we are done with it (cue 45’s pending announcement and how it is dealt with by his co-partisans, for example).
I agree totally with this, but would stress that the first sentence is historical, while the second is the only operative one today.
I’m curious to see whether they keep Ronna McDaniel after this year. It’s nothing short of odd that they’ve kept her this long–party chairs are typically replaced very often regardless, and I can’t think of any other example in modern times of one being kept on after two bad election cycles for their party, let alone three. Even though she’s never been a favorite of the MAGA crowd, the fact she’s survived this long is, to me, another sign that the party has a problem with course correction following losses.
@MarkedMan:
For as long as Trump looms over it, the GOP is going to remain in the gutter.
Unlikely.
The GOP is largely a religious party now, not the sort of people receptive to change.
Apart from that, GOP politicians are largely the little bitches of conservative media, and what puts eyeballs on Fox News screens is not going to change either.
@MarkedMan:
The infamous Republican post-mortem in 2012 was earlier example of the GOP trying for reform but the primary voters not playing along. The Republicans are going to have to figure out how to appeal to a broader swath of the center so they are less dependent on their base. And that’s going to be tough when your go-to play is demonizing the Other.
@CSK:
While I understand the sentiment, I think all the evidence points to Trump being a manifestation of the underlying trend in the Republican Party rather than the cause of it. I keep coming back to California. They lost power by descending into extremism in a trend that started well before Trump appeared on the scene. Early on, CA Republican Party stalwarts got the message from the election results and tried to wrestle the party back into a more palatable direction, but in a primary-only system they were instead driven into irrelevance or out of the party entirely.
@MarkedMan:
The GOP base voters are largely crazies of one sort or another, the GOP needs all of their votes, every faction, to have any chance. Some mechanism for the GOP to moderate just does not exist.
@MarkedMan:
There were always elements of this, but I think it came to prominence with Pat Buchanan in 1996 and his “peasant with pitchforks” speech. Sarah Palin fanned the embers. It took Donald Trump to turn it into the world’s biggest bonfire.
@CSK: Still, Trump didn’t start the fire. And he didn’t try to fight it, either. And when the GOP crawls out of the gutter, the fire will still be burning. I predict that it will go back to William F. Buckley’s and Pat Buchanan’s erudite and witty fire–full of bon mots and double entendres–rather than the harsh, vulgar one we have now.
@Just nutha ignint cracker:
Buckley’s reputation has been so thoroughly ret-conned that the entire conservative movement has forgotten how influential he was in the whole anti-civil rights movement, giving a veneer of intellectualism to brutality and depravity. Sorry for the lengthy quote, but it’s worth reading if you haven’t seen it before:
Given that this column was written amidst a background of the lynching and torture of civil rights activists, white and black, the intellectual veneer here is mighty thin. At heart, Buckley was a crude and animalistic thug, albeit one smart enough to see by the 1970’s that his brand of “we only beat the Negro for his own good” had gone past its sell by date.
I don’t know if Buckley actually believed this racist tripe or just found it useful in advancing his career. And indeed, his fans and apologists make a great deal of that later shift in position. But he still supported all the same racists and the Southern Policy, although nominally now despite, rather than because, of their racism. And it should be noted that whatever change of heart he had occurred only when it was becoming apparent his racist intellectualism was in danger of costing him his very lucrative television career.
@charon:
The Democrats are in the same boat. Being left of most Democrats, I don’t think they need to moderate, but they are balanced across the support of a whole lot of constituencies and cannot afford to lose any.
@CSK:
Or until the Democrats stumble…
I wish the Q Caucus was so vile that it drove everyone away from the entire Republican Party, but races are scary close.
If the Dems nominate a presidential candidate who doesn’t speak well to Black voters, or who cannot balance the culturally conservative Latinos with the Gen Z dyed-blue hair wing, or who irritates the 44% of Gen X that is Dem (what is up with my generation?)… and then the GOP gutter overflows up and down the ballot.
Doesn’t even need to be someone who is actively bad, just someone who there’s less excitement for in one wing of the party.
@MarkedMan: Why, do you suppose, am I still calling it a fire?
@Gustopher:
People’s political identities tend to form around the culture of their adolescence and young adulthood. When Gen X was 15-20 the presidents were Reagan, Bush, and Clinton (moderate who ran against liberalism), and the Republicans took over Congress. Republican conservatism was ascendant. Naturally we lean more conservative than Boomers (Kennedy, Johnson, Nixon) or Millennials (Clinton, Bush, Obama).
This is the generation as a group; of course individuals vary. My very first vote for president was one of the doomed liberal Democrats who lost in landslides to the Republican conservative – I’ll let you guess whether that is Dukakis or Mondale.