Mass Deportations and Local Authorities

The dark side of federalism.

Slow Vote Counting is a Problem

Not knowing the results of an election a week later is unacceptable.

The Trump Realignment

Not a Red Wave but a Red Shift?

Trump Wins Pennsylvania, Likely the Presidency

The 45th President looks to be the 47th.

[Guy Fawkes Mask] [Guy Fawkes Mask]

9ish Guy Fawkes Day & Beyond Predictions [Updated]

Remember, remember the fifth of November…

Final 2024 Predictions

A low confidence Election Day forecast.

Freedom Caucus Chair’s Anti-Democratic Musings

Floating the idea that NC should just award its EVs to Trump.

With Early Voting Comes Early Claims Of Vote Switching

And the real destruction of mail-in ballots

Models Moving Trumpward

A modest disturbance in the force.

Defining and Discussing Fascism, Part II

Hitler comparisons.

Ignore The Polls?!

They won’t tell you who’s going to be President. They’re still useful.

What Trump’s Election Denialism Hath Wrought

Some direct evidence of the effects.

Manchin, Sinema Pan Harris Filibuster Promise

The two most annoying Senators in the Democratic caucus are at it again.

Mike Lee’s Ambition

And his corruption.

Paths to Electoral College Victory

Does it really all come down to Pennsylvania?

Nate Silver: Pundit

Going solo has its disadvantages.

Some Polls

Things continue to be tight, yet Harrisward.

The Violence Inherent in the System

Things may well get ugly regardless of the outcome of November’s election.

Kamala’s New Map

Democrats suddenly have multiple paths to victory.

3D rendering artificial intelligence AI research of robot and cyborg development for future of people living. Digital data mining and machine learning technology design for computer brain. 3D rendering artificial intelligence AI research of robot and cyborg development for future of people living. Digital data mining and machine learning technology design for computer brain.

AIgorithmic Price-Fixing

Why the rent is too damn high.

No Joe-mentum

The Democrats are in a good place heading into their convention.

Harris Has a Slight Lead

The reset is real.

A Rebooted Race

We’re back to Square 1.

Kamala Harris in front of American Flag Kamala Harris in front of American Flag

Some Brief(ish) Thoughts On Kamala Harris’s Potential Running Mates

Taking a closer look at Cooper, Kelly, and Shapiro

Forced Relocation of Migrants

Cruelty with compound interest.

Polls Continue Trumpward Shift

The slide continues.

More Post-Debate Polling

More polling that contradicts the panic.

Trump Leads Biden Going into Tonight’s Debate

He’s doing better in all the swing states but one than in 2020.

Biden Offers Amnesty for Illegals Married to Americans

A morally right but politically fraught move.

Crystal Ball Moves Trumpward

It all comes down to Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.

Will Trump Leaners Come Home to Biden?

The weirdness of this year’s polling gives the President’s team hope.

Trump’s Path to 270

It’s depressingly short.

Happy Birthday, Mr. Mayor

Here are some special papers.

Republican Dysfunction

It is a bit of a mess.

Arizona Republicans Block Abortion Ban Fix

They can’t help themselves.

Senator Joe Lieberman, 1942-2024

The 2000 Democratic Vice Presidential nominee turned maverick is gone at 82.

Biden Wargaming Stolen Election Contingencies

He may be fighting the last war.

Trump Guts RNC

A purge of the professional staff for, well, reasons.

Donald Trump and Joe Biden portrait style Donald Trump and Joe Biden portrait style

Biden and Trump Secure Their Party Nominations

The inevitable is all but official.

Adios, Senator Sinema

One term was enough.

California’s Weird Election Laws

The Top Two system has created perverse incentives.

President Joe Biden in the Oval Office, October 19, 2023 President Joe Biden in the Oval Office, October 19, 2023

Old Man Biden

The problem that won’t go away.

Young Blacks Souring on Biden?

A credulous report strings together some anedotes and dubious polling.

The Border Standoff is Escalating Quickly

Gregg Abbott is now defying the U.S. Supreme Court, forcing a showdown.

The Saban Tsunami

One man’s retirement has upended the college football landscape.

Texas Passes New Immigration Law

Billions for a wall plus a likely showdown with the feds.

Sandra Day O’Connor, 1930-2023

The first woman to serve on the Supreme Court is gone at 93.

Dozens Quitting Congress

Take this job and shove it. I ain’t workin’ here no more.