Outside the Beltway

Only 32 of 435 House seats are competitive.

Michelle Obama thinks so.

This time: North Carolina

The reality is, I can’t say no.

The disconnect between perception and reality about elections.

I question the timing.

Some sense of proportion would be nice.

It’s neither unprecedented nor powerful. It doesn’t exist.

The 45th President looks to be the 47th.

Floating the idea that NC should just award its EVs to Trump.

Trump is significantly outpeforming his 2020 results in New York and Florida. It doesn’t matter.

Vance is no Mike Pence.

The two most annoying Senators in the Democratic caucus are at it again.

By one vote.

The skews may offset.

He was looking for a vote to steal.

A Republican columnist is angry that Trump, not Harris, is being seen as the incumbent.

A graph that shows why Trump should be concerned

Democrats suddenly have multiple paths to victory.

The Democrats are in a good place heading into their convention.

Weak and presidentialized.

He’s doing better in all the swing states but one than in 2020.

That’s some catch, that Catch-22.

It all comes down to Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.

It’s no longer just a Third World problem.