Perhaps weirdly ironic in light of the Tim Johnson health watch, but Hotline editor Chuck Todd argues that “the party may not have another realistic shot at getting the majority back until 2012.”
Todd’s race-by-race analysis of the 2008 contested seats is interesting and plausible, although as he himself notes early forecasts had the Democrats gaining zero seats in 2006. Still, he’s right that the likely competitive and/or open seat alignment favors the Democrats next cycle. Predicting 2010, let alone 2012, this early, though, borders on silly.
