Markos Zúniga is gleeful about polls showing drops in President Bush’s popularity–thinking they’ll soon drop into the 40s or even 30s!– but does not take polls about the Democratic primary challengers seriously.
What I find interesting is that the raw poll data chart of Bush he provides is actually surprisingly encouraging for Bush supporters. While there was almost a linear aggregate drop from the highs of post 9/11/01, when his numbers were in the unsustainable high 80s/low 90s, the numbers have been steady or even increasing over the last eight months, with all but the outlyers in the 60s throughout that period.
I agree with Markos’ points about polling on primary contenders: Not enough people are paying attention yet and, indeed, what matters is the opinions in the early primary states. The fact that Lieberman seems not to have managed to sustain his inherited frontrunner status is interesting and there are no signs that’s going to change.
