Outside the Beltway

Some thoughts on voter enthusiasm and EV scenarios.

Trump has pulled ahead in some individual polls but Biden continues to have a commanding lead.

Fear of a reprise of 2016 is still with us.

The two parties learned different lessons from the last contested election.

A Blue Wave still looks quite likely.

Some judicial alphabet soup in dialog with my co-blogger.

He has the largest lead of any challenger since modern polling began in 1936.

What meanings might the Founders have had? How should we understand the term?

If we embrace the Founders to justify the present, let’s think about what we are doing.

I couldn’t help myself.

Joe Biden’s chances remain extraordinarily good.

Definitions are fun, right?

Whether the delusions of a madman or a deliberate scheme to poison the waters, there’s cause for concern.

Injecting data into the conversation.

A long-winded and esoteric discussion about an elusive idea.

A fundamental building block of our system makes it nearly impossible to fix.

Legitimacy hangs in the balance.

It is about finding ways to combat minority rule.

Is Trump really an outlier?

A defense of the indefensible.

President Trump is historically unpopular and has consistently trailed Joe Biden. He could still win.

The Electoral College is once again having the opposite effect of what its defenders claim.

Thinking about wildfires and electoral politics.

A game wherein one team has to score more points to win than does the other.

What is more concerning, speculation and war games, or the words of POTUS?

Our screwy electoral system requires thinking about screwy scenarios.

We’re winding down to Election Day. Where do we stand?

Some recommended reading.

Yet another call for military intervention in domestic politics.

Institutional reform is necessary, but we can’t accomplish much in the face of tribalism.

Ok, so what should change?

The American political system is broken but it’s not fair to blame that on its architects.

The convergence of design flaws in the constitution and a flawed leader have brought us to brink of an electoral crisis.

This is not even close to the worst it’s ever been.

The latest Morning Consult numbers are more bad news for Trump.

A hundred days out, a wave election is the best bet.

It’s just not immediate.

Could a blue state governor be the future of the Republican Party?

Even Republicans are wondering if President Trump is at his “Katrina moment.”

States can punish Electors who substitute their judgment for those of the voters.

It creates a veto gate that they are almost guaranteed to control when they need it.

The writing is on the wall for simple-majority voting in the Senate.

Joementum.

President Trump is behind 14 points in the latest NYT poll.

Always look for evidence.

Because sometimes a comment starts to become a post.

The Economist gives Joe Biden an 83% chance to win the Electoral College.

The vagaries of our Presidential election mechanism gave us a surprising result in 2016. That’s unlikely this year.

What if instead of the unit rule, states doled out electoral voter based on the proportion of votes each slate of electors received?

SCOTUS and “faithless electors.”