Polls, Damn Polls, and Aggregators

There’s something for everyone in the post-debate surveys.

President Joe Biden in the Oval Office, October 19, 2023 President Joe Biden in the Oval Office, October 19, 2023

I Don’t Think He is Going Anywhere

But the story will continue for a while yet.

Clooney and Pelosi Join ‘Replace Biden’ Effort

The President’s demand that Democrats shut up and rally behind him is going unheeded.

Post-Debate Polling Trends

The changes are minor but in the wrong direction for the guy who’s behind.

President Joe Biden talks to reporters as he departs an event with attendees from the U.S. Conference of Mayors Winter Meeting, Friday, January 20, 2023, in the East Room of the White House. President Joe Biden talks to reporters as he departs an event with attendees from the U.S. Conference of Mayors Winter Meeting, Friday, January 20, 2023, in the East Room of the White House.

Biden and the Media Narrative

Are the press out to get the President? Or abetting a coverup?

Biden Fails to Assuage Performance Fears

The big interview did little to ease doubts that he’s up to another four years.

President Joe Biden announces new efforts by his Administration to crack down on junk fees, Wednesday, October 11, 2023, in the White House Rose Garden. President Joe Biden announces new efforts by his Administration to crack down on junk fees, Wednesday, October 11, 2023, in the White House Rose Garden.

Biden Agrees to High Stakes Stephanopoulos Interview

The President is going all-in to undo the damage from the debate.

SCOTUS Not as Radical as You Think!

Who are you going to believe, the WSJ or your lying eyes?

CNN Poll on Replacing Biden

Sounds dramatic, but not very convincing.

And So it Begins

Immunity leading to impunity?

Presidential Immunity and the Catch-22 of American Politics

All of the legal remedies are impossible.

SCOTUS on Presidential Immunity: It Depends

Too little, too late.

Quick Reactions to the Immunity Case

Too much deference to the president, but the trial will continue.

Repeat After Me: US Parties are Weak

Weak and presidentialized.

More on Biden’s Options

More to consider.

Biden Isn’t Dropping Out

More post-debate thoughts and a reminder about how US parties work.

Biden’s Catastrophic Debate Performance

A second Trump presidency got much more likely last night.

Jamaal Bowman Defeated in Primary

The Gaza conflict has ousted a member of “the Squad.”

TuesTabs

Handicapping The Debate

Could Thursday’s match-up shake up the race?

Kennedy Won’t Qualify for Debate

That’s some catch, that Catch-22.

Biden Offers Amnesty for Illegals Married to Americans

A morally right but politically fraught move.

Blue Democratic Donkey, Dupont Circle, Washington DC Blue Democratic Donkey, Dupont Circle, Washington DC

Democrats Preparing for Trump Win

Progressive activists are preparing to “democracy-proof” the country.

Republicans Shockingly Back Republican Nominee

Never underestimate the hypocrisy of politicians.

Crystal Ball Moves Trumpward

It all comes down to Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.

Macron Calls Snap Election

His party got destroyed in EU elections, so he’s doubling down.

The ‘Convicted Felon’ Label

It’s a problematic concept.

Three Elections

Voters in Mexico, India, and South Africa are making their voices heard.

Convict Trump

Will the first President convicted of crimes be the first convicted felon re-elected as President?

Will Trump Leaners Come Home to Biden?

The weirdness of this year’s polling gives the President’s team hope.

President Joe Biden, Oval Office, 4 April 2024 President Joe Biden, Oval Office, 4 April 2024

Biden’s Unpopularity

He isn’t very popular.

Iran’s President and Foreign Minister Killed in Helicopter Crash

A shocking development amidst regional turmoil.

Trump Likely Committed $100 Million Tax Fraud

Shady accounting practices from well before he entered politics are coming back to bite him in the ass.

US Says Israel Likely Committed War Crimes

A Congressionally-mandated report finds “reasonable” evidence but acknowledges limitations.

FreedomWorks Shuts Down

MAGA has eaten the Tea Party.

An Observation or Two on SCOTUS

Well, more than two…

Trump’s Second Term

The NYT is going all-in painting it as “far more radical, vindictive and unchecked” than the first.

Is Our Problem a Lack of Public Virtue?

Are we betraying the Founders?

Trump’s Increasingly Fascistic Speeches

A disturbing dissection in the NYT Magazine.

Biden Has Lowest Approval in History, Should Still Win

A famed political forecaster doesn’t believe the polls.

SCOTUS and Presidential Immunity

A republic if you can keep it, indeed.

Argentina Applies for NATO Partnership

The Western sphere widens.

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Mass Behavior v. Individual Action

Part of an ongoing conversation.

Trump and the Politics of Abortion

The GOP caught the car and now doesn’t know what to do.

Age Inversion in American Politics?

Suddenly, old voters are aligning Democrat and young ones Republican.

Nope Labels

Who could have seen this coming?

Nebraska Considers Winner-Take-All Electoral Vote

Partisanship and representation in conflict.