Candidate Quality and the Alabama Governor’s Race

Testing a hypothesis or two.

A Question for the Filibuster

Where’s the positive example?

Presidents Shape Parties More than Parties Shape Presidents

How party change actually works in the US. Plus more on messaging and organzing.

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Emil Bove Confirmed to Lifetime Judgeship

Trump’s personal lawyer, and man accused of telling DOJ lawyers to ignore court orders is now a federal judge.

A Bigly Unpopular Bill

Have I ever noted the Congress is less responsive to the public than it should be?

Defending and Downplaying the Padilla Incident

Force to create compliance should not be supported or excused. And yet…

Tabby Thursday

A Reminder

Immunity edition.

Jefferson Davis and Section 3

Some historical context.

Democrats Worried About Youngkin

Virginia’s governor has raised a ton of money.

Ivy Ressentiment

Old men still bitter about where they went to college.

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Mitt Romney’s Future

The anti-Trump Republican could find re-election difficult.

Poor, Poor, Pitiful Pence

The past just won’t let him be.

Ticket Splitting in the 2022 Mid-Term

How much ticket-splitting was there in gubernatorial v. senatorial races this cycle?

Alaska Voters Had Real Choices and Made Them

Every vote counted, with refreshing results.

Red and Blue States Aren’t Permanent

The margins for 2024 are likely to be slim. But that hides a larger story.

Lessons from the Fetterman Victory?

This kind of “analysis” drives me nuts

Democrats Need One More to Hold Senate

It boils down to NV or GA.

An Observation on Geography-Based Representation

A thought inspired by the PA Senate race.

A Basic Theory of Voting Behavior

And a reminder of the role of political parties.

Why Walker Will Win a Lot of Votes

Voting isn’t just about candidates.

Nonhierarchical Parties and the Problems of Candidate Selection

American parties are coordination problems with shared branding.

Inflation Reduction Act Passes Senate

And a comment on news coverage of the passage.

On Senate Reform

A proposal by Jamell Bouie

Democrats Even Madder at Manchin

The West Virginia Senator has pulled away the football yet again.

Oz Shifts Strategy for the General

Pay no attention to the endorsement behind the candidate.

Herschel Walker and the Perils of Celebrity Candidates

More ugly revelations about the football hero turned politician.

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Podcast Recommendation (Plus: More on US Democracy)

Ezra Klein discusses the dynamics of American conservatism in historical perspective. Plus, he helps illustrate a key problem that we have in thinking about American politics (IMHO).

Democrats Don’t Control the Senate

Another day, another disappointment for the party’s legislative agenda.

Maybe Susan Collins Isn’t The Best Judge Of Character

The Senator from Maine once against demonstrates that she shouldn’t be prognosticating about people’s future actions.

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A Lament and The Reality of Politics

A illustration from the Senate race in Georgia.

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Professional Politicians Poor Prognosticators

Mitch McConnell and other senior Republican Senators foolishly believed their colleagues would do the right thing.

Utah Democrats Back Republican Evan McMullin in Bid to Unseat Trumper Mike Lee

Seeing no way to win under their own label, they’ve called a Hail Mary.

Orrin Hatch, 1934-2022

The longest-serving Republican Senator has died at the age of 88.

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Feinstein is Declining But What About Tuberville

A twist on an evergreen debate.

Joe Manchin’s Conflict of Interest

The most important man in the Senate got rich the old fashioned way.

Supreme Court Confirmations and Political Polarization

The days of unanimous votes are long behind us.

The World’s Greatest Deliberative Body

A hundred Senators actually didn’t mean to change our clocks.

Permanent Daylight Saving Time?

We may be on the verge half a century after our last experiment.

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Why Would Anyone Want to be a Senator?

Two popular Republican governors have declined a chance to join the World’s Greatest Deliberative Body.

A Modest Step on Voting Integrity

It’s Manchin-approved.

Republican Vote Needed to Confirm Biden Justice?

New Mexico Senator Ben Ray Luján is hospitalized with a stroke.

Harry Reid, 1939-2021

The longtime Senate leader is gone at 82.

The Breyer Patch

The 83-year-old Justice is playing a dangerous game.

Manchin Shoots BBB Dead, Dead, Dead

The West Virginia Senator has taken the football from Charlie Brown and gone home.

The Non-ending Joe Manchin Saga

Is the stalwart of Senate bipartisanship interested in governing?

Democrats Frustrated They Can’t Pass Biden’s Build Back Better Bill

They’re searching for good times. But just wait and see.

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Defense Bill Stalled Over Amendments

Every now and again, it’s not Mitch McConnell’s fault.

Where Do the Republicans Go From Here?

This man is the face of the post-Trump party.