Who Could Have Predicted It?

I can't help myself...

Via Axios: Iran says it is closing Strait of Hormuz over Israeli attacks on Lebanon.

The Iranian armed forces announced Saturday they will close the Strait of Hormuz — just three days after it reopened — alleging America’s failure to rein in Israeli attacks on Lebanon violates the new ceasefire deal.

Who could have seen that coming?

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Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor Emeritus of Political Science and former College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter and/or BlueSky.

Comments

  1. charontwo's avatar charontwo says:

    Who could have seen that coming?

    Anyone who gave it the tiniest bit of thought.

    Give immediate concessions to Iran up front that relieve economic and other pressures on Iran, thus strengthening Iran’s bargaining position, while concessions by Iran are vaguely defined and put off to the future. What else could possibly happen?

    Unlike Trump and dopes like Hegseth, Iran’s leaders are not stupid.

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  2. @charontwo:

    Anyone who gave it the tiniest bit of thought

    To be clear: that’s my point.

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  3. Daryl's avatar Daryl says:

    The dumb fucks came up with an agreement that binds Israel without including Israel in the agreement.
    And everyone knows that Bibi is Fatso’s daddy.

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  4. Kevin's avatar Kevin says:

    @Daryl: I don’t think he is. I do, however, think there’s a non-zero chance of America invading Israel before this is over. I’m honestly not sure if it’s more or less likely than America invading Iran.

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  5. charontwo's avatar charontwo says:

    @Kevin:

    Using what staging area? With what plans that Israel is not privy to in advance?

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  6. Daryl's avatar Daryl says:

    @Kevin:
    If by non-zero you mean less than zero…yeah

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