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I have it on reliable authority that Scott Brown will beat Martha Coakley by a comfortable margin when the counting’s done tonight.
I intentionally echoed an infamous newspaper headline (“Dewey Defeats Truman”) in my post title because, as my source tells me, if Coakley wins, “then polling as we know it is dead.”
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Imagine if a democrat had won a special state wide election in Texas suring W.’s time in office. Would the gop have stepped back and wondered how they could have gotten so out of touch?
Now imagine the gop winning a special statewide election in mass. Will they step back and wonder how they could be so out of touch or double down on their liberal agenda?
If the election isn’t close enough for the dems to steal and Brown wins, then I bet the dems won’t be smart enough to question why, but will go whole hog on increasing gov’t. control no matter how unpopular it is.
They got New Hampshire wrong in the Dem Primary, based on similar fast trends, and it didn’t destroy polling as we know it.
It also seems to me that everyone admits that likely voters and turnout were difficult/impossible to model here. As a MA resident I can tell you that I haven’t answered my land line in two weeks… I doubt I’m alone in that.
I am so psyched about this!
With Brown in, the Dems are DONE–a defeated, minority party.
Hopefully we can get Obama out of there ASAP, with Brown leading the charge for impeachment.
Although Hussein could save us all a bunch of trouble by just resigning and heading back to Kenya with his buddy Adewale Ogunleye, ASAP.
The criminality and arrogance of the Dummocrats can’t withstand this decisive defeat.
It is finally great to say that AMERICA IS BACK!!!
We’ll see how things look in 2012. Unless Brown decides to leap-frog off this to run in the 2012 presidential election, my guess is that he’ll probably be run out of office in 2012 if he goes full tea-bagger.
He got lucky, running against Martha “Chokely” and in a special election where very few people give a shit.
Scott Brown is just the beginning. This election was not a referendum on any political party. This was a referendum on career politicians voting in secret, using our money to buy their re-elections, and insulting our traditions of self-government and natural freedoms. The people of this nation realize the Constitution was written for a reason. Over the last several generations that Constitution has been slowly dismantled and ignored. It will be our generation that returns our nation to the principles under which she was founded.
Yeah, the fact that so many Democrats voted for him doesn’t mean a thing when over 50% showed up for a special election on a cold day in blue-blue-blue Massachusetts.
While I don’t necessarily agree about the former, I was wrong on the latter – turnout was pretty high. My bad.
To be honest, I’m feeling a kind of cynical amusement about this right now. Maybe it’s just a fatalistic reaction from a liberal democrat living in one of the most deeply red states in the US.
@Chris Moore
Scott Brown is just the beginning. This election was not a referendum on any political party. This was a referendum on career politicians voting in secret, using our money to buy their re-elections, and insulting our traditions of self-government and natural freedoms. The people of this nation realize the Constitution was written for a reason. Over the last several generations that Constitution has been slowly dismantled and ignored. It will be our generation that returns our nation to the principles under which she was founded.
@JJ
The public is fickle and interested mostly in results.
Hope vs. Experience. I’ll go with experience.
Gee, Sam, if experience were important, why is Obama President? He ran on hope turned out to be hype. Face it, Obama has tried to install a radical agenda which even the good people of the Bay State rejected. Brown was smart enough to make this about issues not parties. A Senate seat held by a Democrat, Kennedy, is now held by a Republican. Spin it if you can but the facts on the ground are clear.
Well, I think Daniel Larison has the best take on the election (written before the election):
The easy analysis of what is happening is to say that “even in deep-blue Massachusetts people are rejecting Obama’s agenda,†but none of this makes any sense. I don’t say this because I have any sympathy for Obama’s domestic agenda, but because I don’t think there is any way to understand this response by voters in a heavily Democratic state except as an expression of pure anti-incumbency sentiment and a desire simply to shake things up. After years of mocking Obama’s signature campaign slogans, Republicans have found that their best path back to power is exploiting the desire to change for change’s sake.
I.e. “Can you hear me now??!!”
What it means is, Obama turned out not to be the change people were hoping for
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I think that’s right, and it would be a mistake for Republicans to think that Brown’s election was some affirmation of the desire to keep the status quo (or, in their case, the status no). Look, the guy’s got two years before he has to stand for reelection, it’ll be interesting to see how he fares in 2012.
