Outside the Beltway

Trump is significantly outpeforming his 2020 results in New York and Florida. It doesn’t matter.

The skews may offset.

The weirdness of this year’s polling gives the President’s team hope.

Most of the biggest countries in the world have birth rates below replacement level.

Rural Americans are misunderstood!

The last challenger to Donald Trump bows to reality.

A breakdown of new survey data.

Most no longer believe it’s possible to get ahead through hard work.

White Christian nationalism and the fight for control of America.

Survey research is not without flaws. But we dismiss it at our peril.

A poll on Israeli support.

A counterintuitive move.

A surprising ruling on the Voting Rights Act.

Most high-income Congressional Districts are Democratic and low-income Districts are Republican.

A key pathway to success for low-income citizens isn’t working.

“Classical liberals” really need to rediscover self examination

Affluence comes with a cost.

The will of the majority can prevail even in a skewed system.

Parsing the results thus far.

What will it take to end the cycle of violence?

The class photo has changed.

How well has the famous thesis fared?

Ruy Teixeira finds that Hispanics aren’t yet woke.

As Democrats gain college-educated voters, they’re losing Hispanics and men.

Tweaking the message and getting out the vote don’t matter as much as strategists think.

We did much better in 2020 and worse since 2021 than we thought.

Can it overcome demographics and decoupling to sustain its current unprecedented growth?

Momentum for ending an undemocratic anachronism is building.

We’re three short years from the next election.

It’s not funny when you have to constantly explain the jokes.

Voters are suppose to choose elected officials, not the other way around.

Let’s look at the numbers and the clear effects of policy choices.

The Lone Star State has enacted some peculiar new laws.

The long demographic trend continues.

The rate at which Americans are getting COVID shots is slowing rapidly.

Critical race theory rears its ugly head yet again.

Or, at least, he’s willing to kill democracy in order to save it.

RussiaGate is back in the news but the story is unlikely to move the needle.

Our insistence on relying on an 18th Century understanding of electoral systems is our ongoing bane (if one values representative government).

The hidden wokeness of our new Critical Theory-loving President.

Will there be in-fighting? Yes. A break-up? No.

Arguments and analyses that are, well, turkeys.

Two prominent media pollsters are hedging their bets.

Injecting data into the conversation.

It’s just not immediate.

A majority of Americans of every sex, race, education, income, or region do the right thing. With one exception.

Congress forgot to disestablish a Creek Reservation created by treaty in 1833 and 1856 when it made Oklahoma a state in 1909.

Two new studies bring more questions than answers.

Joe Biden won with every group imaginable—and some that were unimaginable.