A Hostile Takeover?

The President-Elect is testing the guardrails early.

An Unfavorable Election

Trump is less unpopular than ever.

The Immigration Backlash

Democrats and Republicans alike are less supportive than they were four years ago.

Kamala Harris and Incumbency Curse

The sitting Vice President isn’t getting blamed for the economy.

The Gender Wars

They’re apparently ongoing. Who knew?

Tuesday Tabs

Because I really do have too many open.

Biden’s Catastrophic Debate Performance

A second Trump presidency got much more likely last night.

Biden Orders Shutdown of Asylum Process

A desperate measure for a desperate problem.

An Observation or Two on SCOTUS

Well, more than two…

Biden Has Lowest Approval in History, Should Still Win

A famed political forecaster doesn’t believe the polls.

Will Biden’s Israel Policy Matter in November?

Many Democrats are worried about the fallout.

Nope Labels

Who could have seen this coming?

President Joe Biden takes his mask off to deliver remarks on COVID-19 and the economy, Thursday, July 29, 2021, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz) President Joe Biden takes his mask off to deliver remarks on COVID-19 and the economy, Thursday, July 29, 2021, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

Biden’s Covid Malaise?

A pandemic hangover may be clouding American politics.

Stupid Poll Tricks

Two data points are not a trend.

A Modest Racial Realignment

Explaining the inexplicable.

Biden’s Gaza Dilemma

Some Democrats are threatening to sit November out.

The Old Man and the Felon

Turning 80 and being charged with a felony are equally disqualifying.

Porn, Public Employees, and the First Amendment

I know a fireable offense when I see it.

TikTok and the Israel-Hamas War

The popular app is influencing the opinions of its young user base.

The Polls Are Skewed!

Survey research is not without flaws. But we dismiss it at our peril.

One Year Out

Looking ahead to November 5, 2024

Public Confidence in Military Lowest in Decades

There has been a steady decline the last five years.

Hippie VW microbus Hippie VW microbus

The Good Old Days

Back when people were kinder and man’s word was his bond.

America’s “Family Secret” or Just Plain Denial?

Slavery is an inextricable part of our past, whether we want to talk about it or not.

Americans Becoming More Socially Conservative?

Gallup’s annual Values and Beliefs survey has some interesting results.

On Primary Candidacies

Thinking about what is predictive as well as the usefulness of historical case studies.

Crisis of Confidence

Why have Americans lost trust in their institutions?

Biden Approval Up

Gallup has him at his highest point in a year.

Dems in Midterms: You’re Saying There’s a Chance?

A 2020 blowout has long been presumed. But maybe it won’t happen.

President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the passing of the bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Tuesday, August 10, 2021, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz) President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the passing of the bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Tuesday, August 10, 2021, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

How Low Can Joe Go?

Approval is down (again).

Failed and Has-Been Politicians Start New Party

The Forward Party will almost certainly go nowhere.

Fixing the Primary Problem

Could Alaska point the way to a solution?

Unity My Ass

Are you going to believe this index or your own lyin’ eyes?

President Joe Biden delivers remarks on Earth Day prior to signing an executive order strengthening the nation’s forests, resilience to extreme weather events, and local economies, Friday, April 22, 2022, at Seward Park in Seattle. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz) President Joe Biden delivers remarks on Earth Day prior to signing an executive order strengthening the nation’s forests, resilience to extreme weather events, and local economies, Friday, April 22, 2022, at Seward Park in Seattle. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

The Messaging is Medium

The Democrats have lots of problems. Salesmanship is pretty far down the list.

Two Years After George Floyd

Very little progress has been made towards racial justice.

The Least Dangerous Branch?

The apparently eminent demise of abortion rights has reignited an old debate.

Voters in Sour Mood Ahead of Midterms

The polls do not bode well for Democrats.

Ukraine Updates

Links and infographics.

Both-sidesing COVID

Being too cautious and careless are not equal sins.

President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the passing of the bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Tuesday, August 10, 2021, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz) President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the passing of the bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Tuesday, August 10, 2021, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

Breaking: Country Polarized

And Biden approval down.

Partisanship and Ideology Redux

Aggregate self-identification doesn’t tell us much, but the breakdowns do.

Stevie Wonder feeling the White House Bust of Dr. Martin Luther King Jr during a visit to the Oval Office in 2016 by White House Photographer Peter Souza. Stevie Wonder feeling the White House Bust of Dr. Martin Luther King Jr during a visit to the Oval Office in 2016 by White House Photographer Peter Souza.

In honor of MLK, some dubious tweets & a lesser-known speech

Once again, today marks a day where folks who would never have supported Dr. King decide they should praise him

Partisan ID in the United States

Gallup has the 2021 numbers.

Violence Inequality

The safety gap between affluent, white and poor, minority communities has grown over the last three decades.

The free high-resolution photo of meeting, business, brand, product, help, capital, illustration, text, graph, diagram, euro, dollar, course, banks, pension, network, loss, economy, refugees, policy, cartoon, recession, businessmen, finance, analysis, values, e commerce, stock exchange, pay, investments, profits, shares, economic crisis, financial world, financial crisis, speculation, capital market, trading floor, world economy, economic migrants, financial equalization, loans, commodity futures, date of goods , taken with an unknown camera 03/09 2017 The picture taken with The image is released free of copyrights under Creative Commons CC0. You may download, modify, distribute, and use them royalty free for anything you like, even in commercial applications. Attribution is not required. The free high-resolution photo of meeting, business, brand, product, help, capital, illustration, text, graph, diagram, euro, dollar, course, banks, pension, network, loss, economy, refugees, policy, cartoon, recession, businessmen, finance, analysis, values, e commerce, stock exchange, pay, investments, profits, shares, economic crisis, financial world, financial crisis, speculation, capital market, trading floor, world economy, economic migrants, financial equalization, loans, commodity futures, date of goods , taken with an unknown camera 03/09 2017 The picture taken with The image is released free of copyrights under Creative Commons CC0. You may download, modify, distribute, and use them royalty free for anything you like, even in commercial applications. Attribution is not required.

Americans Feel Economy Much Worse Than it Is

It turns out “the economy” isn’t just one thing.