Outside the Beltway

Using money to control the GOP.

The 45th President looks to be the 47th.

Staffers are in mutiny after owners killed plans to endorse Kamala Harris for President.

Each state sets its own election rules. That’s not a good thing.

An FNC report on the Alaska House race is a mess.

We’re back to Square 1.

The basics.

He’s doing better in all the swing states but one than in 2020.

Voters in Mexico, India, and South Africa are making their voices heard.

The weirdness of this year’s polling gives the President’s team hope.

Presidential v. senatorial polling in swings states is just, well, odd.

A potential GOP self-own in south Texas.

Americans look back more fondly on the Trump economy than they did in 2020.

Creeping authoritarianism? Political suicide? Descent into madness?

The last challenger to Donald Trump bows to reality.

If so, he’ll almost surely win bigly.

In a shocking development, the overwhelming frontrunner is winning.

The Top Two system has created perverse incentives.

A data point or two amid the panic.

Yes, every special election is a very special snowflake, but trends do emerge

Group dynamics and limited choices.

Shockingly, both “incumbents” are going to win their party’s 2024 nominations.

Cold hard facts.

Making 2024 about 2021 and 1777.

Another state has declared him an insurrectionist.

Ignorance, it turns out, isn’t bliss.

They’ve punted to the DC Circuit.

A never-ending saga of politicians choosing their voters.

The system isn’t very good.

The anti-Trump forces are rallying around the former South Carolina governor and UN ambassador.

The President has tepid support in the 18-29 demographic.

A David Brooks column inspires some thoughts.

The press really needs to stop trying to make fetch happen.

A race a Democrat will definitely win will be the most expensive in US history.

The trend shows no sign of abating.

A trip through comparative democratic reform.

Wherein I finally reveal my answer (spoiler: it is hardly surprising). And, also, wherein despite the goal of brevity, I fail at that goal.

The Electoral College is holding a nation of millions back.

The parties do not control their labels.

The process that could chance Alabama’s congressional delegation begins.

Diving into the structure of Alabama’s districts and highlighting deep problems.

Thinking about what is predictive as well as the usefulness of historical case studies.

Are they bored? Delusional?

Don’t get your hopes up.

“Red States” and “Blue State”

South Carolina and Georgia win! Iowa loses! New Hampshire whines!

A look back at two decades of blogging.

A tough map for the Democrats.

Some thoughts on polling and the news since 2016.