Outside the Beltway

Don’t let pundits spin too many fantasies.

The public is much less concerned than you are.

Thoughts on the election and on the electoral rules used.

Over-reading the NYC mayoral primary.

Some sense of proportion would be nice.

My turn.

A modest disturbance in the force.

They are not like you and me.

They won’t tell you who’s going to be President. They’re still useful.

Mark Robinson is the latest example.

Going solo has its disadvantages.

The election analyst is out on a limb with Trump.

Nate Silver is throwing cold water on the convention bounce.

The Democrats are in a good place heading into their convention.

The reset is real.

There’s something for everyone in the post-debate surveys.

The slide continues.

The changes are minor but in the wrong direction for the guy who’s behind.

More post-debate thoughts and a reminder about how US parties work.

He’s doing better in all the swing states but one than in 2020.

Some of these have been piling up for a while.

The President has tepid support in the 18-29 demographic.

And, not surprisingly, about parties.

It’s quite the week for politicians with generic names nobody has ever heard of.

BuzzFeed, Disney, and others are making big cuts.

How much is enough?

Parsing the results thus far.

The race is returning to expectation.

A 2020 blowout has long been presumed. But maybe it won’t happen.

Canada has more parties than the US, but still suffers representation problems due to FPTP elections.

Some good news for our democracy.

Why it’s all over but the crying.

Strange women lying in ponds distributing swords is no basis for a system of government!

Trump has pulled ahead in some individual polls but Biden continues to have a commanding lead.

Fear of a reprise of 2016 is still with us.

Alabama’s junior Senator needs my help.

Let’s just say Rasmussen is an extreme outlier.

Joe Biden’s chances remain extraordinarily good.

Injecting data into the conversation.

Our screwy electoral system requires thinking about screwy scenarios.

Because sometimes a comment starts to become a post.

Looking back at my predictions about the 2020 Democratic race.

Nate Silver now gives Biden an 87% chance of winning the nomination outright.

Women didn’t vote for her either. But that doesn’t mean sexism didn’t play a role in her loss.

Media overreacts to the Sanders victory all the polls predicted.

A new poll seems to indicate that Democratic voters aren’t exactly jumping on the Mike Bloomberg train.

Even when it comes from his favorite propaganda network, Donald Trump doesn’t like bad news.

Kamala Harris’s post-debate rise in the polls appears to be losing momentum as we head into the second debate.

The President unleashed another racist attack, this time on Maryland Congressman Elijah Cummings.