Thoughts on Outcomes

A bad night for Trump.

Democrats Win Off-Off Year Elections They Were Expected to Win

And what it means for 2024 and beyond.

East Wing Almost Gone

The move to build Trump’s Big Beautiful Ballroom is moving at record speed.

No Kings rally Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania June 14, 2025 No Kings rally Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania June 14, 2025

Is The Resistance Futile?

The second round of No Kings rallies will take place today. Will they matter?

The Seductive Allure of Collective Blame

“He that spits against the Wind, spits in his own Face.”

Bad Leadership on Display

Trump’s response to the Kirk assassination is to try and further divide us.

MALCOLM-JAMAL WARNER at 68th Emmy Awards, September 18, 2016 MALCOLM-JAMAL WARNER at 68th Emmy Awards, September 18, 2016

Malcolm-Jamal Warner, 1970-2025

The actor best known for his role on “The Cosby Show” has died at 54.

NLDA image under Creative Commons license NLDA image under Creative Commons license

No, Congress Didn’t Give Up Its Spending Power

Spinelessness isn’t permanent.

US Capitol Rotunda US Capitol Rotunda

Congressional Republicans Always Cave

They may whine and bluster, but Trump always gets their votes.

Brooks Writes a Paragraph…

…and I write a bit more than that.

Hegseth Fires Service JAGs

The top uniformed lawyers for the Army, Navy, and Air Force have been relieved.

President Joe Biden meets with President-elect Donald Trump, Wednesday, November 13, 2024, in the Oval Office. (Official White House Photo by Cameron Smith) President Joe Biden meets with President-elect Donald Trump, Wednesday, November 13, 2024, in the Oval Office. (Official White House Photo by Cameron Smith)

Bad Pardons and Outrageous Pardons

A difference in degree is a difference in kind.

President Joe Biden in the Oval Office, October 19, 2023 President Joe Biden in the Oval Office, October 19, 2023

Biden Warns of Oligarchy in Farewell Address

It “literally threatens our entire democracy, our basic rights and freedoms and a fair shot for everyone to get ahead.”

Jimmy Carter, 1924-2024

America’s 39th President, and greatest ex-President, is gone at the ripe old age of 100.

Biden Team Considering Pardoning Trump Foes

Abusing power to prevent the abuse of power?

On Qualification for Cabinet Positions

A general conversation and a lot of specifics about RFK. Jr.

Muslims Shocked—SHOCKED!—Trump is Pro-Israel

Of leopards and faces.

Slow Vote Counting is a Problem

Not knowing the results of an election a week later is unacceptable.

Trump Wins Pennsylvania, Likely the Presidency

The 45th President looks to be the 47th.

A Guy Fawkes mask is placed atop the grave of Samuel Adams for a photograph. More at The Schumin Web: www.schuminweb.com/life-and-times/boston-megaraid-part-1/ Ben Schumin is a professional photographer who captures the intricacies of daily life. This image may be used under Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 2.0. A Guy Fawkes mask is placed atop the grave of Samuel Adams for a photograph. More at The Schumin Web: www.schuminweb.com/life-and-times/boston-megaraid-part-1/ Ben Schumin is a professional photographer who captures the intricacies of daily life. This image may be used under Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 2.0.

9ish Guy Fawkes Day & Beyond Predictions [Updated]

Remember, remember the fifth of November…

Final 2024 Predictions

A low confidence Election Day forecast.

Trump Advisors Promise A Recession (And Worse) If He Wins

Elon is on record warning Trump supporters to be prepared for “temporary hardship”

With Early Voting Comes Early Claims Of Vote Switching

And the real destruction of mail-in ballots

Models Moving Trumpward

A modest disturbance in the force.

Trump A Vulgarian? Who Knew?

It turns out that the former and would-be-again President has a potty mouth.

Thursday Tabs

Trump a Dancing Fool

Contrary to widespread perception, white men can in fact dance.

Are We Seeing a Realignment?

Subtle demographic changes may have created a tipping point.

Ignore The Polls?!

They won’t tell you who’s going to be President. They’re still useful.

An Example of Attempted Election Interference

Six GOP members of the House are targeting military ballots.

Electoral College Insanity: Florida Edition

Trump is significantly outpeforming his 2020 results in New York and Florida. It doesn’t matter.

Today’s Example of the Endless Grift

Trump Bibles: made in China.

The Other Undecided Voters

They have a preference but may not vote.

Republican Electoral College Advantage May Be Shrinking

The skews may offset.

Campaign Tales from the PA Trail

Everyone’s favorite state.

The EC Doesn’t Work the Way Some People Claim

Part the gazillioneth.

Paths to Electoral College Victory

Does it really all come down to Pennsylvania?

Electoral College Bias

It could all come down to Pennsylvania.

Vice President Kamala Harris attends a meeting with President Joe Biden and their “Investing in America” Cabinet to discuss the Administration’s economic agenda, Friday, May 5, 2023, in the Roosevelt Room of the White House. Vice President Kamala Harris attends a meeting with President Joe Biden and their “Investing in America” Cabinet to discuss the Administration’s economic agenda, Friday, May 5, 2023, in the Roosevelt Room of the White House.

Harris to Cut Degree Requirements

A modest proposal for Civil Service reform.

Some Polls

Things continue to be tight, yet Harrisward.

“He’s on our side”

Fascist agitation begets violence.

Harris Leads But Could Still Lose

Nate Silver is throwing cold water on the convention bounce.

A Quick Comparison

One of these things is not like the other.

newspaper newspaper

The Ezra Klein Phenomenon

From Juiceboxer to arguably the most important media figure on the left.

Trump Has a Point

His rants about the new race are unhelpful but not unfounded.

Kamala’s New Map

Democrats suddenly have multiple paths to victory.

lego people crowd lego people crowd

Not Your Father’s GOP

Beyond politics, there’s culture.