Outside the Beltway

Gee, I wonder why?

The country is not happy with Trump. Except for Republicans.

Even Republicans are balking at some Trump policies.

The polls are showing a really weird dynamic.

About half the country wants about half of Trump.

Like Guy Fawkes, I got burnt!

Trump is less unpopular than ever.

How we feeling?

Making mountains of molehills.

A modest disturbance in the force.

They are not like you and me.

They won’t tell you who’s going to be President. They’re still useful.

Democrats and Republicans alike are less supportive than they were four years ago.

Where the science and art of polling intersect.

Massive numbers are taking to the streets in protest.

Nate Silver is throwing cold water on the convention bounce.

Harris appears to be getting a post-convention bounce while Trump and Vance stay classy.

A Republican columnist is angry that Trump, not Harris, is being seen as the incumbent.

A graph that shows why Trump should be concerned

Democrats suddenly have multiple paths to victory.

Revisiting a post from yesterday.

The Democrats are in a good place heading into their convention.

The reset is real.

A fresh choice provides room for movement.

We’re back to Square 1.

There’s something for everyone in the post-debate surveys.

The slide continues.

The changes are minor but in the wrong direction for the guy who’s behind.

More polling that contradicts the panic.

Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose.

He’s doing better in all the swing states but one than in 2020.

The professionals are striving to keep up with changing voter habits.

After ‘the economy,’ the two diverge wildly on their top priorities.

The weirdness of this year’s polling gives the President’s team hope.

He isn’t very popular.

Compared to any available alternative, yes.

Presidential v. senatorial polling in swings states is just, well, odd.

Americans are concerned about very different things.

Americans look back more fondly on the Trump economy than they did in 2020.

A famed political forecaster doesn’t believe the polls.

People around the world are more skeptical about governing institutions.

Suddenly, old voters are aligning Democrat and young ones Republican.

Shockingly, most people aren’t economists.

Two data points are not a trend.

Explaining the inexplicable.

We’re entitled to our own facts.

Mo’ money, less problems.

Turning 80 and being charged with a felony are equally disqualifying.

A misleading survey result.