Outside the Beltway

And what it means for 2024 and beyond.

Political scientists, however, are skeptical.

How party change actually works in the US. Plus more on messaging and organzing.

We need to be focused on the system, not fantasies about messages and organization.

Senator Mike Lee helps us understand what he means by “a republic, not a democracy.”

A four-pronged test.

The reality is, I can’t say no.

Can Democrats do anything?

Air Force honors for Ashli Babbitt.

Thinking about the evolution (or is it devolution) of the GOP since the 1990s.

Resisting gaslighting must be social. It’s crucial for those who oppose Trump’s falsehoods to remind each other, again and again, that 2 + 2 = 4.

Hint: another variables may be the key.

Is it time for the Democrats to move to the center?

Keeping a running list of examples of the dishonesty, unreality, poor governance, and authoritarianism of the Trump administration.

A reminder.

…and I write a bit more than that.

Washington, Jefferson, Lincoln, and both Roosevelts pushed the envelope, too!

I question the timing.

Some sense of proportion would be nice.

A reflection on four decades of presidential elections.

It’s neither unprecedented nor powerful. It doesn’t exist.

How that awful man won again.

Like Guy Fawkes, I got burnt!

The 45th President looks to be the 47th.

Remember, remember the fifth of November…

A low confidence Election Day forecast.

A modest disturbance in the force.

Subtle demographic changes may have created a tipping point.

Trump is significantly outpeforming his 2020 results in New York and Florida. It doesn’t matter.

Confirming who he always has been.

More on Trump’s attempt to subvert the 2020 election.

They have a preference but may not vote.

By one vote.

The skews may offset.

He was looking for a vote to steal.

Part the gazillioneth.

Does it really all come down to Pennsylvania?

Going solo has its disadvantages.

It could all come down to Pennsylvania.

A bizarre court decision requires violating state and federal law.

The election analyst is out on a limb with Trump.

Nate Silver is throwing cold water on the convention bounce.

A Republican columnist is angry that Trump, not Harris, is being seen as the incumbent.

A graph that shows why Trump should be concerned

Democrats suddenly have multiple paths to victory.

The Democrats are in a good place heading into their convention.

Stoking anti-Semitism for political gain

There’s something for everyone in the post-debate surveys.