Mass Deportations and Local Authorities

The dark side of federalism.

Trump Wins Pennsylvania, Likely the Presidency

The 45th President looks to be the 47th.

[Guy Fawkes Mask] [Guy Fawkes Mask]

9ish Guy Fawkes Day & Beyond Predictions [Updated]

Remember, remember the fifth of November…

Final 2024 Predictions

A low confidence Election Day forecast.

Companies Go On Record About Future Tariff-Related Price Increases

Trump’s core policies will drive inflation

Freedom Caucus Chair’s Anti-Democratic Musings

Floating the idea that NC should just award its EVs to Trump.

Models Moving Trumpward

A modest disturbance in the force.

Some Odd Claims by Trump

On cows and windows.

Are We Seeing a Realignment?

Subtle demographic changes may have created a tipping point.

Disinformation, Dystopia, and Disillusion

Bizarre conspiracy theories shared by powerful people are immune to fact checking.

Speaking of Conspiracy Theories and Their Consequences

Lying about hurricanes and stoking ridiculous theories about weather control are the latest examples.

The Immigration Backlash

Democrats and Republicans alike are less supportive than they were four years ago.

Helene and the Election

Will voting be disrupted in parts of GA and NC?

Trump’s Xenophobic Lies about Hurricane Relief

This is fascistic rhetoric.

Perhaps They Used Jewish Space Lasers?

MTG is at it again.

The Devastation in North Carolina

And the grotesqueness of the Trumpian response.

Republican Electoral College Advantage May Be Shrinking

The skews may offset.

The Elusive ‘Likely Voter’

Where the science and art of polling intersect.

More Tales of Candidate Selection

Mark Robinson is the latest example.

Paths to Electoral College Victory

Does it really all come down to Pennsylvania?

Electoral College Bias

It could all come down to Pennsylvania.

North Carolina Removes RFK Jr From Ballot

A bizarre court decision requires violating state and federal law.

Meme from the movie Dodgeball saying "That's a Bold Move, Cotton. Let's see if it pays off" Meme from the movie Dodgeball saying "That's a Bold Move, Cotton. Let's see if it pays off"

[Updated] Hunter Biden Attempts A Novel Plea Strategy

I suspect it isn’t going to work

Low-T(hursday) Tabs

Or is that low-T(rump)?

Is Disney Too Big?

Yet another service disruption over rights fees calls attention to the issue.

On Polling and Trolling

Harris appears to be getting a post-convention bounce while Trump and Vance stay classy.

MIT After Affirmative Action

The predicted has happened.

Kamala’s New Map

Democrats suddenly have multiple paths to victory.

[167th St. Station. James Baldwin Mural. New York, NY by Kathy Drasky] [167th St. Station. James Baldwin Mural. New York, NY by Kathy Drasky]

Once You Start Running On Anger & Outrage It’s Hard To Stop

A reflection the Trump campaign with helpf from James Baldwin

Fertility Politics

Too many! Too few!

Harris Has a Slight Lead

The reset is real.

Wounded Knee Medals Redux

New information has changed my thinking on this.

A Rebooted Race

We’re back to Square 1.

Kamala Harris in front of American Flag Kamala Harris in front of American Flag

Some Brief(ish) Thoughts On Kamala Harris’s Potential Running Mates

Taking a closer look at Cooper, Kelly, and Shapiro

More Post-Debate Polling

More polling that contradicts the panic.

Is Joe Biden Fit to Serve?

The Replace Biden bandwagon continues rolling. Evidence is mounting that he needs to get on it.

Biden Isn’t Dropping Out

More post-debate thoughts and a reminder about how US parties work.

Trump Leads Biden Going into Tonight’s Debate

He’s doing better in all the swing states but one than in 2020.

The Cult of Trump

Planting a flag.

Republicans Shockingly Back Republican Nominee

Never underestimate the hypocrisy of politicians.

Crystal Ball Moves Trumpward

It all comes down to Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.

Brown v. Board at 70

Seven decades after de jure segregation was outlawed, de facto segregation is alive and well.

The ‘Outside Agitator’ Trope

It’s been around for a very long time.

SCOTUS and Presidential Immunity

A republic if you can keep it, indeed.

The Toll of Abortion Politics

Simplistic solutions to complex problems lead to human suffering.

Maine Joins ‘National Popular Vote’ Compact

A longstanding project inches forward.

Francis Scott Key Bridge Disaster

Some interesting tidbits.

Donald Trump and Joe Biden portrait style Donald Trump and Joe Biden portrait style

Biden and Trump Secure Their Party Nominations

The inevitable is all but official.